NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b29c777b6940365133e3a31134e4edf93747525dcee5ef8271af85b26b7a27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 303$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes | 69c | 251.83$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Hurricanes | 32c | 217.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.22 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Hurricanes | 65c | 201.39$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hurricanes | 32c | 134.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hurricanes | 57c | 122.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 115.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Blue Jackets | 37c | 110$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blue Jackets | 69c | 72.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Blue Jackets | 19c | 71.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Blue Jackets | 67c | 66.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Hurricanes | 33c | 64.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Hurricanes | 73c | 63.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes | 32c | 62.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…2f04backed Hurricanes | 33c | 59.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…b68dbacked Blue Jackets | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes | 31c | 54.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 50.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hurricanes | 57c | 46.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hurricanes | 32c | 41.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jackets | 80c | 41.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Blue Jackets | 68c | 40.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Hurricanes | 39c | 33.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Blue Jackets | 67c | 32.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Hurricanes | 54c | 31.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hurricanes | 38c | 31.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Blue Jackets | 66c | 30.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blue Jackets | 68c | 30.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Blue Jackets | 46c | 30.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 28.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 21.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed Blue Jackets | 68c | 21.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Blue Jackets | 68c | 20.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. Blue JacketsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.