Tennis · resolved market
Paul vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b33296d3c8991ad8f5ae8f83ce8f0cbed8243cdfafea7633d352f0f75108367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,334 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Under | 50c | 399.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Under | 53c | 375.87$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 253.87$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Over | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Over | 53c | 94.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 53.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 44.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 21.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paul vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils won
- Paul vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Paul vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Paul vs FilsPaul won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)Paul won
- Tommy Paul vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.