MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4cb878ecdf0198c077c5d046389497a2a87e20d70ba40ed2b76f54a697547e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 7,499$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.41 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 4,941$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.3 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 2,964$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.23 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 2,091$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.33 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,019$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.81 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 1,480$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.81 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 1,179$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.86 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,118$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.94 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,086$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.56 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 983.29$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.31 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 658.71$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.01 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 512.01$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.49 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 431.41$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 420$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 379$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.19 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 330.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.63 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 319.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.28 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 318.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 277.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 213.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 198.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 173.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 148.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 146.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 135.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 134.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 132.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 132.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…56aebacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 127.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 120.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 112.93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 108.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 87.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 80.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Chicago Cubs | 79c | 62.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 57.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 53.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 49.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 45.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 43.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 39.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 35.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 33.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 31.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 26.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 25.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 23.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 15.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 17.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.