MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74944227892fd68d096651cee9d5b11dfe5ce18d717950bd7dc0cdee328ab53e

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Washington Nationals
Resolved: Apr 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,919 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x55d8…b384backed Washington Nationals	54c	2,810$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.44	577	44.7%258 W · 319 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves	57c	1,963$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$837.65	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Atlanta Braves	46c	1,472$677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.1	165	43%71 W · 94 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves	44c	1,458$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.76	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals	52c	892.06$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.87	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals	53c	853.28$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.02	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Atlanta Braves	47c	822.41$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.85	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Washington Nationals	54c	723.61$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.08	308	44.2%136 W · 172 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Washington Nationals	53c	703.77$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.31	1,355	49.8%675 W · 680 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves	53c	594.93$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.27	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals	54c	500.31$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.17	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Washington Nationals	54c	499$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.46	228	31.6%72 W · 156 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Atlanta Braves	42c	422.52$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.27	140	34.3%48 W · 92 L	-13.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Atlanta Braves	70c	358.89$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.56	488	50.2%245 W · 243 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Washington Nationals	18c	323.59$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.25	160	19.4%31 W · 129 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Atlanta Braves	65c	321.11$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.39	247	48.2%119 W · 128 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals	58c	284.34$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.41	1,041	50.1%522 W · 519 L	+17.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves	46c	241.85$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.6	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Braves	50c	213.34$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.41	664	48.2%320 W · 344 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Washington Nationals	57c	212.48$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.11	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves	46c	210.35$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.59	569	46.9%267 W · 302 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Atlanta Braves	46c	210.35$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.59	128	45.3%58 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Atlanta Braves	45c	207.57$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.59	122	48.4%59 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Atlanta Braves	47c	205.71$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.89	383	53.8%206 W · 177 L	+16.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Braves	45c	204.39$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.42	603	50.1%302 W · 301 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Washington Nationals	53c	191.25$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.71	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde4…aa62backed Washington Nationals	50c	184.3$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.15	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Washington Nationals	18c	182$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.38	102	15.7%16 W · 86 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Atlanta Braves	50c	161.68$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.6	161	35.4%57 W · 104 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce1…2f49backed Washington Nationals	28c	148.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.98	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Atlanta Braves	46c	145.14$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.38	162	42.6%69 W · 93 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Washington Nationals	58c	140.61$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.9	344	52.6%181 W · 163 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdac9…ef82backed Washington Nationals	23c	124.41$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.61	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Atlanta Braves	55c	122.51$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.59	418	47.6%199 W · 219 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Atlanta Braves	46c	105.17$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.79	128	52.3%67 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Washington Nationals	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Washington Nationals	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	568	51.4%292 W · 276 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Atlanta Braves	46c	96.76$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.25	784	54.5%427 W · 357 L	+19.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Atlanta Braves	49c	87.39$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.57	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Washington Nationals	59c	82.66$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.77	238	51.3%122 W · 116 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves	46c	81.28$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.89	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Washington Nationals	30c	79.83$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.95	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Atlanta Braves	39c	64.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.8	554	64.1%355 W · 199 L	+63.1wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals	54c	64.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.68	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves	46c	59.21$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.94	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a61…4db6backed Washington Nationals	52c	57.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Atlanta Braves	49c	56.31$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.84	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Washington Nationals	57c	53.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.28	183	53.6%98 W · 85 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves	45c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.5	1,661	43.5%722 W · 939 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals	55c	47.51$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.28	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Washington Nationals	25c	46.8$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	841	22.7%191 W · 650 L	-81.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Atlanta Braves	46c	46.69$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.43	1,269	47.4%602 W · 667 L	-31.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Washington Nationals	57c	42.73$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	294	50.7%149 W · 145 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Atlanta Braves	46c	42.07$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.72	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Atlanta Braves	46c	42.07$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.72	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Atlanta Braves	50c	39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves	45c	38.63$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.31	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Washington Nationals	29c	37.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	58cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Washington Nationals	61c	36.68$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.29	1,133	57.2%648 W · 485 L	+35.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Atlanta Braves	54c	35.63$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.52	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Washington Nationals	59c	33.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves	65c	32.55$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Washington Nationals	57c	31.1$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Atlanta Braves	41c	26$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	2,545	45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Washington Nationals	57c	25.64$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals	59c	22.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.03	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Washington Nationals	52c	21.15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	667	49.3%329 W · 338 L	-22.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Washington Nationals	51c	20.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	202	58.4%118 W · 84 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Washington Nationals	59c	20.48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsAtlanta Braves won
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Over won
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event