TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99a7…fc82backed San Francisco Giants55c25,557$13,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,977.7614248.6%69 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c20,307$9,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,168.8518241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c4,319$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.931,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c2,311$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.441,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed San Francisco Giants54c2,252$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.0757744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants54c1,173$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.266,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants53c1,076$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.371,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.925149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed San Francisco Giants54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c999.96$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9860350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c721.31$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.012,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2513…91fbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c720.35$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.797248.6%35 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed San Francisco Giants55c707.63$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.230844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c678.29$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2436440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants54c677.48$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.885,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c667.96$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.637833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c652.56$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.4355052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c636.19$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.252,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked San Francisco Giants52c576$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9667742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked San Francisco Giants53c400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21055847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed San Francisco Giants49c346.87$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.971,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants52c296.16$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.086,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c283.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.411,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c275.85$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.466442.2%27 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked San Francisco Giants53c220.01$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9851555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants54c216.48$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.652,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c211.37$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6238353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked San Francisco Giants48c209.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0611637.9%44 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked San Francisco Giants50c208$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1647743%205 W · 272 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1856946.9%267 W · 302 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked San Francisco Giants17c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5410215.7%16 W · 86 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9348850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed San Francisco Giants25c196$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6527.7%4 W · 48 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-81.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants54c195.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.285,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed San Francisco Giants54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2448150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants54c150$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.51,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants48c142.55$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.61,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed San Francisco Giants54c135.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9348651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31fc…bb77backed San Francisco Giants54c128.54$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed San Francisco Giants26c125$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.56314.3%9 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid+58.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdf63…7bdfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c124.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c122.24$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.421,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants34c115.3$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.472,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked San Francisco Giants46c111$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.182,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c109.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1666749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c107.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0930446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c106.39$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5216242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c81.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4579543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked San Francisco Giants48c75.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1752449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362d…0c58backed San Francisco Giants53c73.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.135756.1%32 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c67.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2368942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed San Francisco Giants45c63.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.631,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed San Francisco Giants48c62.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8894648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked San Francisco Giants48c62.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8841847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked San Francisco Giants48c62.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.887452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b2e…d2abbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c61.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7512548%60 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked San Francisco Giants25c61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2723522.6%53 W · 182 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c60.11$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.851,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed San Francisco Giants55c55.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5325249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2855953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb39b…14c9backed Los Angeles Dodgers44c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.444045%18 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c48.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.421,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed San Francisco Giants49c47.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6929047.6%138 W · 152 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c47.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0614034.3%48 W · 92 L-13.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bc2…9aa3backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.641957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…ab23backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.642142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed San Francisco Giants57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.365442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked San Francisco Giants57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3618444%81 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers57c42.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3712349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c41.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2611855.9%66 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee4…c3b9backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c41.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.098959.6%53 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.849851%50 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers71c39.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.45,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.43,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.764,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked San Francisco Giants55c35.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4629747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Los Angeles Dodgers45c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7344347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b9…243fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c30.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed San Francisco Giants53c27.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers80c18.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.758484.5%71 W · 13 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick76cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.