TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under52c23,775$12,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,411.955053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c11,919$5,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,711.621,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8213…083bbacked Over45c7,090$3,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c6,538$3,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over48c4,037$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.612551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x861a…1f15backed Over47c3,335$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.534259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over47c3,207$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.686845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over45c3,114$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.117248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over46c2,983$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.133246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c2,915$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.241,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Under53c2,672$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.053441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over48c2,422$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.562,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over27c2,263$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.212,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under54c1,879$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.2273748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c1,773$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.346,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,652$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.471,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9875248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c1,020$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.391,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64d…28a6backed Over48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.024447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over45c859.56$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.826545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under55c805.17$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.411,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under53c655.97$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.327249.3%134 W · 138 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under55c621.86$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.039,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over46c598.94$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.518441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under56c578.5$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2822753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…672abacked Over45c563.78$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.293935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under49c472.86$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.256,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.889045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c377.91$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under55c370.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.821,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3643153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3638455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under51c362.24$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.575244%331 W · 421 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c349.38$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.0212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Under62c346.67$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.742544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under57c319.23$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.326,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over48c302.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.321,16749%572 W · 595 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1477833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under52c243.9$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0725249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c234.59$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.592,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb549…c2b6backed Over48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.884257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8849649.8%247 W · 249 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24f6…7ce9backed Over33c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510634.9%37 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.181,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over46c182.86$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1130750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Under55c181.55$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5348850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa564…e6f3backed Under50c175.9$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.621643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Over46c152.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.16346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Under53c121.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.098944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c116.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.561,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over44c108.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.446434.4%22 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over52c100.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.782,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.041,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed Under53c96.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2315352.3%80 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.099444.7%42 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ea…4013backed Over46c86.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.561747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under53c81.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3720044.5%89 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over48c80.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5679543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under64c75.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.124,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under54c74.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1227248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c74.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6678146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over24c72.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5329047.6%138 W · 152 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Under55c68.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.632835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01a…86c2backed Under54c67.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Over48c61.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under58c59.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.766749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over46c58.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7111250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Over51c55.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.151555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14de…414ebacked Under53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8516056.9%91 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over45c52.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.755,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Over48c48.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.256160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under54c47.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9224350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba28…fa8fbacked Over46c43.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under53c43.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe503…6d7bbacked Over45c42.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.342272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbe67…dd7ebacked Over47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3612742.5%54 W · 73 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over51c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9822949.8%114 W · 115 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over48c40.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.584751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca6…08ffbacked Under49c40.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.793056.7%17 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+50.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over45c38.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4186653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under51c37.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1926553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.246550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…cb2bbacked Under64c35.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.713354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over41c33.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.751,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Over48c32.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.592748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Over48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5344347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c30.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.762,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over47c29.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.881,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over49c29.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3110449%51 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Under52c28.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.523658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x088d…3516backed Under52c28.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.521984.2%16 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+73.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under53c27.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0514047.1%66 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1525…2815backed Under53c27.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60d8…85f8backed Under53c26.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.573644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9d…cb2cbacked Under53c25.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.071163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under49c24.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.363,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28cf…2381backed Under64c22.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over46c21.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0138352.2%200 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.