CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x791d5df9729d4484632ea93b3c7082b1d72b43fed811127ceda6cd17b98e4ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SemperFi Esportsof SemperFi Esports, Rooster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Rooster | 10c | 5,016$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed Rooster | 21c | 4,165$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.57 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8002backed Rooster | 10c | 1,390$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…7353backed SemperFi Esports | 79c | 1,305$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked SemperFi Esports | 77c | 1,157$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.45 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Rooster | 8c | 905$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rooster | 21c | 859.83$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Rooster | 7c | 759.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…0a4fbacked SemperFi Esports | 78c | 726$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked SemperFi Esports | 78c | 662.14$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.14 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…7111backed Rooster | 9c | 646.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Rooster | 9c | 628.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…23d6backed Rooster | 12c | 515$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed Rooster | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +99%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed SemperFi Esports | 78c | 499.28$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.15 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Rooster | 8c | 415.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…f4e3backed SemperFi Esports | 77c | 388.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ab…2bb9backed Rooster | 10c | 332.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed SemperFi Esports | 78c | 316.68$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rooster | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Rooster | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rooster | 22c | 196.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed SemperFi Esports | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…bafbbacked Rooster | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…7f3dbacked Rooster | 12c | 189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c8…90c3backed Rooster | 11c | 182.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Rooster | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…f219backed Rooster | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed SemperFi Esports | 79c | 138.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…692dbacked Rooster | 8c | 131.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed SemperFi Esports | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Rooster | 31c | 128.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Rooster | 9c | 127.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked SemperFi Esports | 77c | 110.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…0c26backed Rooster | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Rooster | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Rooster | 12c | 91.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed SemperFi Esports | 76c | 73.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed SemperFi Esports | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked SemperFi Esports | 57c | 45.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…dfffbacked SemperFi Esports | 78c | 43.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dac…31b8backed SemperFi Esports | 76c | 24.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed SemperFi Esports | 80c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Rooster - Map 1 WinnerSemperFi Esports won
- Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Rooster - Map 2 WinnerSemperFi Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.