TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3359…f4e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.64
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.82
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$16.21
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.58
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.82
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.84
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$20.78
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs TNC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group Dbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.38
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.71
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Fisher College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$306
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.01
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fancy United vs Motiv Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Motiv Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$86.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$31.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.