Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273f7132314761bd6942824a614c4dabf1d125e0c5cb29efc90a78c3a091151a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,408 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,224$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 727 | 26.4%192 W · 535 L | +63.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 29c | 753.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 69c | 594.82$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.92 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 441.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 34c | 430.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 1,472 | 34.8%512 W · 960 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 399.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 67c | 349.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…cc41backed Yes | 31c | 320.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 32c | 311.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 8,337 | 49.2%4,098 W · 4,239 L | +271.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Yes | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.85 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 259.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…9594backed Yes | 19c | 231.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed Yes | 26c | 226.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 41c | 222.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 27c | 219.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 25c | 214.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 35c | 199.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 32c | 181.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 763 | 22.9%175 W · 588 L | -34.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 58c | 158.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…f71cbacked Yes | 43c | 138.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…ba96backed Yes | 31c | 137.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 31c | 133.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 66c | 120.7$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…cff8backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed No | 69c | 117$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc9…dce0backed Yes | 38c | 115.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c8…90c3backed Yes | 24c | 114.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…c899backed Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 104.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 7,233 | 9.3%675 W · 6,558 L | -1,116.1wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f1b1backed No | 65c | 100.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 26c | 99.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed No | 57c | 99.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 3,939 | 23.2%913 W · 3,026 L | +125.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 19c | 98.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 25c | 87.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…b156backed Yes | 42c | 84.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 30c | 68.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1,569 | 16.3%255 W · 1,314 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 67.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 35c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 333 | 39.6%132 W · 201 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 6,891 | 39.4%2,717 W · 4,174 L | +269.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed No | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 63.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 60.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…e7d4backed Yes | 30c | 60.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 17c | 59.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 75c | 58.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…0a49backed No | 68c | 58.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 118 | 78.8%93 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…3de8backed Yes | 26c | 58.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 685 | 21.5%147 W · 538 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2a…f10dbacked No | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb43…2a6bbacked Yes | 22c | 52.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 62c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…8bd4backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 23c | 48.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 67c | 48.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…875bbacked No | 64c | 43.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Yes | 37c | 41.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 135 | 23%31 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9e8abacked Yes | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 215 | 34%73 W · 142 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 66c | 37.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…cda7backed Yes | 27c | 37.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f59…e76bbacked No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 68c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…65f2backed No | 69c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 2,506 | 69.7%1,747 W · 759 L | +78.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…7605backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…8d1fbacked Yes | 31c | 34.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 66c | 34.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…78c9backed No | 68c | 33.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…103dbacked No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +300.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 64c | 32.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…000abacked No | 68c | 32.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed No | 62c | 32.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…f5f0backed Yes | 33c | 30.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…c0bcbacked Yes | 39c | 29.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…ce71backed No | 61c | 28.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…093bbacked Yes | 40c | 27.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503b…c1b3backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 79c | 22.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…6a90backed No | 76c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…9e6fbacked No | 60c | 21.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…f2b4backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 77c | 19.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…8032backed No | 60c | 18.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 65cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 73c | 18.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…3072backed No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…e1b2backed No | 73c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb271…248cbacked No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…b8e3backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…3b84backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…5cdabacked No | 80c | 13.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on March 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.