Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dca5ef46661282114c7d2497859da6a94faec1cd2d3280491c6276c232f82bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Otterof Dorado Gaming, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb372…4048backed Blue Otter | 78c | 13,206$10,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.91 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +431.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dorado Gaming | 24c | 5,837$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.04 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Dorado Gaming | 19c | 5,000$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.95 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Dorado Gaming | 24c | 928.68$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.35 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Dorado Gaming | 24c | 869.39$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Dorado Gaming | 23c | 792.78$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.72 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…3421backed Dorado Gaming | 15c | 771.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Dorado Gaming | 18c | 518.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Blue Otter | 68c | 512.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.33 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 67cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dorado Gaming | 16c | 422.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Dorado Gaming | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dorado Gaming | 14c | 404.84$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dorado Gaming | 33c | 354.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.67 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed Dorado Gaming | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Dorado Gaming | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Dorado Gaming | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +226.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Dorado Gaming | 8c | 194$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Dorado Gaming | 29c | 187.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Dorado Gaming | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Dorado Gaming | 26c | 174.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Blue Otter | 79c | 164.47$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Dorado Gaming | 23c | 160.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Dorado Gaming | 17c | 145.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Dorado Gaming | 19c | 133.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dc…0e2ebacked Dorado Gaming | 16c | 129.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Dorado Gaming | 18c | 120.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Dorado Gaming | 35c | 111.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Dorado Gaming | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Dorado Gaming | 17c | 88.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 81.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dorado Gaming | 21c | 67.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c8…90c3backed Dorado Gaming | 24c | 63.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +181.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Dorado Gaming | 24c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dorado Gaming | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Dorado Gaming | 21c | 58.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Blue Otter | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…0cf9backed Blue Otter | 76c | 38.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Dorado Gaming | 35c | 38.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…2ed8backed Blue Otter | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Blue Otter | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Blue Otter | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 577 | 72.3%417 W · 160 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Blue Otter | 75c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Blue Otter | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc9…e2aabacked Blue Otter | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagethis page
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 1 WinnerBlue Otter won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerDorado Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.