Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f998450c3634db96f517da53fea87fb90b0bc0c14c8936cb774edc02d11fa4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Otterof Dorado Gaming, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Otter | 80c | 3,879$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.65 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Dorado Gaming | 22c | 1,497$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.79 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dorado Gaming | 19c | 837.37$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dorado Gaming | 19c | 439.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Blue Otter | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dorado Gaming | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Dorado Gaming | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 259 | 60.2%156 W · 103 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Dorado Gaming | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 178.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 128$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Blue Otter | 78c | 118.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Dorado Gaming | 21c | 113.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Dorado Gaming | 19c | 113.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Dorado Gaming | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Dorado Gaming | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Blue Otter | 72c | 32.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageBlue Otter won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerDorado Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.