Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd86ddd51e714d9a63794f8129fdbc1b4b7461281d3c3a948dd9fe48d30202147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a33…464bbacked No | 73c | 11,207$8,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 8,165$6,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.25 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85d…b4e4backed Yes | 27c | 6,344$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…1643backed Yes | 27c | 4,805$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,176$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.47 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,085$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.81 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…16d6backed Yes | 4c | 1,720$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 74c | 1,359$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.15 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 19c | 1,250$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 894.52$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.52 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 768.27$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 714.25$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.49 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 567.18$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 26c | 477.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 28c | 432.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 406$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Yes | 24c | 362.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 28c | 356.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 74c | 332.21$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b9…7575backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 11c | 288.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…96f0backed Yes | 24c | 251.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 237.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 196.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 15c | 195.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 159.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…a58abacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 136.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 15c | 129.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…6ab0backed Yes | 26c | 118.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 27c | 101.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e9…cb06backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…8681backed Yes | 25c | 99.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 90.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 21c | 87.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…b42fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 69.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…b414backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 24c | 54.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 24c | 54.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 28c | 54.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 53.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 53.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 27c | 52.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…4e58backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…ea96backed Yes | 28c | 49.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 72c | 40.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…e74fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd346…4c48backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 76c | 32.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…f161backed No | 73c | 18.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…63a4backed No | 73c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6bfcbacked No | 73c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da2…375cbacked No | 73c | 14.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?this page
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?No won
- Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.