Europa Conference League · resolved market
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc85c031e5a6f2b09de8d01c7b085575d086e82d8b0626e495ded1554c38c4e78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 16,927$11,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,173.84 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 29c | 8,788$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,273.9 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 28c | 2,589$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 72c | 1,507$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.26 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 13c | 1,249$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.92 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 15c | 660$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 501.74$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.99 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 472.07$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.89 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 69c | 403.71$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.25 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Over | 27c | 329.95$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 27c | 306$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.95 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 71c | 280.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 35c | 269.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 72c | 266.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.75 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 262.19$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…36cfbacked Over | 66c | 242.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Over | 67c | 230$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Under | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 32c | 189.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Under | 69c | 172.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 30c | 166$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 12c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 72c | 149.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…6cb7backed Over | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 63c | 124.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 79c | 123.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +67%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 32c | 120.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 34c | 117$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 34c | 116$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Over | 29c | 94.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 66c | 91.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 34c | 88.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 32c | 73.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 31c | 64.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Under | 75c | 64.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 53.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 30c | 46.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 59c | 45.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…af03backed Over | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 72c | 33.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 78c | 29.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Under | 73c | 24.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 60c | 22.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Under | 72c | 16.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5this page
- KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5Over won
- KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5Over won
- KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)KRC Genk won
- Spread: KRC Genk (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: KRC Genk (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.