Europa Conference League · resolved market
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e4293f346f533f27c235a2c8b4a687f935973a3f672afe390750a2ba6582f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 13c | 6,761$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.42 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 73c | 1,545$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.25 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 10c | 1,243$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Under | 65c | 1,087$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 20c | 373$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 70c | 331.58$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 297.93$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 32c | 280$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 48c | 252$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -12.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 227.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 16c | 166$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 25c | 159.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 16c | 159.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 47c | 156.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 144.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 21c | 139.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Over | 14c | 133.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Over | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 46c | 113.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 45c | 103.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 13c | 99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 48c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Over | 32c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 28c | 78.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Under | 75c | 74.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 35c | 65.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 45c | 65.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Under | 76c | 56.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 29c | 55.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 34c | 36.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 56c | 35.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 20.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 4.5this page
- KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5Over won
- KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5Over won
- KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-2.5)KRC Genk won
- Spread: KRC Genk (-1.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
- Spread: KRC Genk (-2.5)GNK Dinamo Zagreb won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.