Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf20f6aa3795928f3cb6ab5e9ca62023eda9824c0d1f2ddede2764e2245d3058c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,008 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 30c | 1,909$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.5 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 903.29$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.11 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 28c | 892.43$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.83 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 28c | 829.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 76c | 735.73$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.1 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 720.38$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.33 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 18c | 646.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 610$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 24c | 600$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 28c | 594.93$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…4138backed Yes | 73c | 498.12$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 77c | 450$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 395.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 30c | 395.06$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed No | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 12c | 325.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 73c | 289.19$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 27c | 260.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 73c | 249.77$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 70c | 248.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 28c | 247$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 72c | 236$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 72c | 228$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…e25cbacked Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 71c | 169$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 25c | 149.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…1227backed No | 27c | 144$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 74c | 141$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…b939backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 124.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 72c | 103.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…2669backed Yes | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 30c | 92.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…0485backed Yes | 74c | 86.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 28c | 82.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 28c | 81.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 76.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…2850backed No | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 29c | 55.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7166backed Yes | 74c | 55.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383e…d998backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 75c | 40.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…678cbacked Yes | 72c | 37.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 68c | 35.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…914bbacked No | 32c | 35.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b2…4678backed Yes | 72c | 33.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafd…dd54backed Yes | 74c | 33.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…37fabacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…a98bbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d5…1300backed Yes | 74c | 23.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…3843backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Yes | 73c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.