Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2941c788ad6b2f2a5d07c4b296879b5fc69fb6a84d0e88d9ed11f6fbebf780f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 829.39$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.36 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 2c | 796.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 13c | 745.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 13c | 600.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 454.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 22c | 403.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 73c | 394.24$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 203.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 201.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…24f8backed Yes | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 73c | 158.48$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 153.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 151.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 144.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 25c | 143.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 27c | 141.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 26c | 136.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…b36fbacked Yes | 27c | 130.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 13c | 112.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 14c | 102.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 73c | 99.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581a…8e5fbacked Yes | 27c | 97.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 27c | 95.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 78.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…8c15backed No | 74c | 78.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 30c | 58.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…0485backed No | 74c | 56.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 53.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 80c | 44.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 40.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 27c | 38.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked No | 73c | 33.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 63cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 74c | 21.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.