TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes31c3,655$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.9513053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No69c3,556$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed No7c2,951$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.49944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+90.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No68c2,241$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.66650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes78c1,389$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.668560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Yes41c1,049$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No16c917.3$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.861,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No52c651.31$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.4799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes63c598.76$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.897364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes35c586.7$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3613942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No21c573.37$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.554247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes49c551.06$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.4171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes71c510.31$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2519073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No44c504.83$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.282365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Yes33c499.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes68c466.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5329370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes54c466.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7658043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Yes56c451.72$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.762065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No19c444.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.971,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes69c414.66$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.751,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No40c402.4$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9810243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No37c400.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.228851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Yes62c376.83$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No41c337.8$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6123548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No67c334.53$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.723643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed No30c319.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.782842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2045326.4%14 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c283.66$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No48c245.81$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5722946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No18c233.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.14020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45f6…21ccbacked No65c231.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c214.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.483,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No65c205.56$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1211759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked No19c182.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.991650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes36c181.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9755750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed No40c180.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.761758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6b…617cbacked Yes37c178.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No65c169.66$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2815060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Yes59c165.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.471145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No65c156.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8214459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No65c156.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8212162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.53762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c146.8$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes68c143.35$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.24785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+82.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…6f99backed Yes41c105.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked No66c100.93$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.61785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick69cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad50…6c25backed Yes35c99.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No65c97.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6414459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No35c97.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.227953.2%42 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf07…9c4fbacked No64c93.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-46.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8525…0dc3backed No71c83.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.94757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes75c82.92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.844447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6398…0485backed No64c81.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.35520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Yes25c76.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.34040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked Yes31c75.24$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.83933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes32c71.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.762030%6 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes68c70.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.419965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.68568.2%58 W · 27 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No42c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No38c63.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.925851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Yes32c59.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No39c58.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9736051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No65c58.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1816955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No30c58.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.644350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffd…e7c6backed No43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes29c53.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0713046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No69c51.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2123858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes33c50.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0920249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes39c49.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4926150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Yes65c48.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.982050%10 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c48.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9970249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34c5…c508backed Yes38c48.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes33c47.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.622263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes31c47.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6419056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked No43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes31c43.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.319255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes66c43.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6620660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes35c40.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.25839.7%23 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Yes36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.82770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1af…d23bbacked No61c39.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.981560%9 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes33c37.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.836642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes67c37.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4319960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed No66c35.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6816856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No34c34.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8319052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked No52c32.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.851127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.36per pick63cpaid-62.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes40c32.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4141339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Yes35c31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1510556.2%59 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed Yes35c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.653375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes39c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8616531.5%52 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes54c25.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.799555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9507…351abacked Yes58c25.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ff…d70dbacked Yes66c23.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No72c21.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec17…c2dcbacked Yes71c20.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c20.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes73c19.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1819172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.