Mls · resolved market
Will Orlando City SC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9723eb3d50832cfb4470e3b21a6b8048bd0007e82201c3ee1fdeb8ef57f1f454
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,455$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.31 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 76c | 1,032$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 899.14$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 637.29$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed No | 76c | 369.6$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed No | 76c | 369.6$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed No | 76c | 369.6$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 75c | 193.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 190.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 186.72$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 76c | 178.71$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 34c | 168.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 16c | 164.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 137.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 22c | 76.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 68c | 76.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…0169backed Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 57.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 53.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed No | 74c | 49.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 79c | 44.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 36c | 38.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 36.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 76c | 36.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 76c | 36.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 36.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 36.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 76c | 24.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 75c | 24.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 19.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 75c | 18.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 76c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 77c | 14.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orlando City SC vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.