Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd67027c48aad983814110f993c19a8bfa1353963b7bce1dfdc7242e74dad907f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 16c | 3,969$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.04 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 15c | 3,163$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 3,097$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.47 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 19c | 2,455$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 14c | 1,827$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 73c | 1,721$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.48 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 77c | 1,050$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 73c | 999.9$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.97 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 717.65$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.55 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 603.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.98 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 77c | 530.52$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 34c | 499.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 32c | 489.19$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 33c | 436.27$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 277.25$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993e…57d7backed Yes | 35c | 250.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 24c | 249.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 22c | 230.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 21c | 208.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 21c | 199.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 19c | 177.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 20c | 176.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 67c | 172.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…722bbacked Yes | 30c | 162.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes | 17c | 136.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 126.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 121.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 24c | 119.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Yes | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 23c | 115.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 28c | 111.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked No | 78c | 91.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.7wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 20c | 79.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 78.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 75.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…b36fbacked No | 72c | 63.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes | 23c | 60.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…e2a0backed Yes | 23c | 57.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 55.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 55.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3f…a5b2backed No | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…0485backed No | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 23c | 53.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 53.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 27c | 53.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…610dbacked Yes | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Yes | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 78c | 47.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 46.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 23c | 43.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 38.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 38.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 35.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed No | 68c | 21.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 71c | 14.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 77c | 13.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.