TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,201 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4956…e2c7backed No50c26,700$13,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,397.162748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked No59c19,965$11,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,195.582934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes15c16,690$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.517753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c16,353$12,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,456.935,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…a3e3backed Yes22c9,599$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c7,031$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040.091,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c4,843$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.711,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes46c4,526$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.2239058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes49c4,100$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes49c3,334$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.751,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes42c2,729$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.422656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes42c2,729$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.440156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes41c2,501$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.34341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffa9…eff1backed No80c2,470$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4942100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes41c2,268$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.2719055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes13c1,471$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.555532.7%18 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes57c1,018$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.055066%33 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes14c820.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.871,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes7c754.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3329425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes52c611.5$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.984643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes53c548.49$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.624555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes50c534.44$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.8140448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes41c470.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad41…2bb4backed Yes49c410.23$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.01875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19018644.6%83 W · 103 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes47c343$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.279325.8%24 W · 69 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Yes14c307.81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Yes52c291.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Yes52c283.59$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b3…0bacbacked Yes50c283.24$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No44c260.6$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.839860.2%59 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Yes41c250.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.77520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes51c240.13$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.311,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes6c228.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4684347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe937…d46abacked Yes6c224.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes27c219.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0112941.1%53 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Yes22c216.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.661827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed No58c208.85$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2517440.2%70 W · 104 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No47c176.79$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9615358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes50c164.38$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.669458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No46c162.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2247860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Yes15c157.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.921546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No62c154.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.441,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Yes52c153.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes51c149.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4134558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No44c148.95$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8728253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c148.42$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.141,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Yes51c138.8$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.79450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.42433.3%8 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed Yes52c124$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed No48c121.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.552568%17 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+54.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes15c119.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0149044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes51c115.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.956467.2%43 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Yes49c115.21$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4512244.3%54 W · 68 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No44c109.83$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.535464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No44c108.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6732560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Yes49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5623755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No61c89.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1373850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Yes43c84.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.226663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes50c83.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.645635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes56c80.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.352268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Yes52c79.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes48c74.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3518647.3%88 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes34c71.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.44141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes49c71.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7489245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked No44c69.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.162138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x993e…57d7backed Yes49c69.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes49c68.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7315549%76 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Yes23c68.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.784261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes15c68.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.311023.6%26 W · 84 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes15c66.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe5…3c76backed Yes49c66.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a35…a72fbacked Yes51c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes51c64.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.129265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2806…5feebacked Yes42c63.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.01955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No47c61.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7518445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed No80c61.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Yes49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed No51c59.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.954946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes51c57.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4724656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked No79c54.81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc794…d010backed Yes51c52.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfca2…e2a0backed No44c50.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3339954.6%218 W · 181 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Yes49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3731…4bfabacked Yes66c49.33$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.56560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes49c47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.988729.9%26 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd99a…1f3ebacked Yes51c44.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes51c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6553148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a04…8305backed No44c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+70.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Yes52c41.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…8803backed Yes49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.396238.7%24 W · 38 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed Yes49c39.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.381346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2217058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Yes51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.