Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc6d2f94f7b6d693c7d910a65f50ae117e9e5d02f46ec5f8c845872f55f8d45a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 41c | 3,267$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.53 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 3,218$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.89 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed Yes | 59c | 3,084$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 43c | 1,280$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.83 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 839.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 71c | 708.32$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.22 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 14c | 705.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 58c | 680.87$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.53 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked No | 44c | 660.47$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 63c | 536.04$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.73 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 57c | 531.56$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.57 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 21c | 530.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 21c | 498.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed No | 19c | 478.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 20c | 475.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed No | 42c | 475.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 58c | 253.05$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 43c | 226.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 43c | 225.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 58c | 202.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 57c | 201.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 7c | 198.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 40c | 194.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 39c | 166.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 57c | 164.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…0485backed No | 43c | 155.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 57c | 153.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 56c | 114.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 11c | 104.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 60c | 100.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…7e96backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 43c | 96.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 43c | 96.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 12c | 94.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…b36fbacked Yes | 58c | 88.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 57c | 71.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 41c | 70.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 57c | 69.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 73c | 67.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…c044backed Yes | 58c | 67.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Yes | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 59c | 62.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 44c | 56.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 43c | 50.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…5fbdbacked No | 42c | 48.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 23c | 47.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…f5b9backed No | 43c | 46.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3113backed Yes | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 64c | 44.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +12.0wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…a613backed Yes | 60c | 35.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 42c | 34.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 59c | 33.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Yes | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 59c | 32.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed No | 42c | 32.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Yes | 58c | 19.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 60c | 18.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 56c | 18.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-04-22?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.