Mls · resolved market
Will Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0204ec618cf817726fe6ca3287d4bfb4ed397a58d69889dae786c8855ff1ce48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 23c | 21,436$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930.18 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 77c | 20,050$15,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 24c | 3,647$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +512.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 76c | 2,324$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 667.22$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.46 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 77c | 420.19$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 7c | 376.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 346.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 324.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 5c | 291.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 77c | 212.26$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 22c | 208.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 24c | 131.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 118.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 110.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 58c | 104.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 86.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 76.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 23c | 65.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfc…5c8ebacked Yes | 23c | 63.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 80c | 54.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 49.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 23c | 48.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 35.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 78c | 25.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 76c | 20.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 76c | 20.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Columbus Crew vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-22?Yes won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.