Asian League · resolved market
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e8c74f08c545f73f03b185a3f7873efbce60d34aad19ef6d0278f9ef2338901
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 45c | 67,406$30,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,464.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 54c | 11,096$5,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,975.22 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 54c | 10,673$5,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,884.98 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 10,555$5,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 9,000$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,086 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 6,274$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.01 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 54c | 4,783$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.12 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 46c | 4,774$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…6428backed Yes | 51c | 4,707$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 4,463$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.59 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 53c | 2,886$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.67 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Yes | 51c | 2,756$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 2,701$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.73 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 2,425$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.24 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 2,222$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.48 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 1,848$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.86 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 56c | 1,568$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.92 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 54c | 1,412$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.25 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 53c | 1,348$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.71 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 1,231$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.88 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 48c | 1,103$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.76 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.35 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 53c | 980.39$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.78 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 979.65$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.42 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 970$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.27 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed No | 48c | 937.5$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 602.32$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.18 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Yes | 55c | 581.93$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed No | 46c | 511.17$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…8409backed No | 49c | 450$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 47c | 410.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 56c | 363.57$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…973cbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 50c | 241.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 52c | 234.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 55c | 228$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 55c | 213.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 52c | 213$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 29c | 199.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes | 54c | 187.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 56c | 156$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 55c | 151.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 50c | 149.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…c697backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 48c | 120.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 46c | 110.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 35c | 108.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…1396backed No | 52c | 108$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 50c | 102.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdc…6eedbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…98cebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…2c1abacked No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…9f6fbacked Yes | 54c | 94.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd19…de06backed Yes | 54c | 94.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 50c | 94.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 55c | 90.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 56c | 89.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 26c | 81.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 56c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No | 53c | 74.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed No | 51c | 72.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked Yes | 50c | 70.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 53c | 66.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 63.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 48c | 63.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 56c | 53.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 55c | 50.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed No | 56c | 50.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 45c | 46.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 53c | 41.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.