Asian League · resolved market
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7baea36c1287b6ed36f499c7b56974af2090fe312856228b06929fe0e497351c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 7,913$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.51 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 11c | 6,938$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.73 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 13c | 3,853$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.85 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 1,035$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.01 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 10c | 700$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 642.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…8ba9backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 408.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +88%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 23c | 275.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 18c | 231.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 18c | 159$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 287 | 32.8%94 W · 193 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 16c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked No | 78c | 78.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 20c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 28c | 56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 55.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 450 | 52.2%235 W · 215 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.