Mls · resolved market
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7dc57e1e9d1a2feae1164043af49fbb44261aa915ee3c02b160e917c5658bd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 12c | 6,072$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.61 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 4,157$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.56 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 4,067$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 3,049$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.77 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 55c | 2,411$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.12 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 2,342$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.11 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 43c | 2,322$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.93 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,153$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.15 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 46c | 2,025$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.61 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 876.11$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.84 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 45c | 758$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.9 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 60c | 635.37$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.83 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Yes | 44c | 532.32$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 45c | 444.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.46 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 46c | 431.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.28 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 9c | 410$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 54c | 275.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 251.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…7fd6backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 45c | 216.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 45c | 209.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 39c | 193.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 56c | 181$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 54c | 168.37$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 55c | 137.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 136$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 43c | 135.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 56c | 123.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes | 61c | 111.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 44c | 109.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 11c | 104$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 44c | 100.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 61c | 82.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 18c | 81.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…8921backed Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 72.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 46c | 70.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 45c | 63.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 54c | 59.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 56c | 58.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Yes | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes | 57c | 43.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 79c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 27c | 42.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 55c | 38.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 45c | 36.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 45c | 36.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Yes | 43c | 34.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 32c | 31.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Yes | 45c | 25.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Yes | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 49c | 21.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No won
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.