Mls · resolved market
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4f9e6adf65c7637f4d917075f672979b3f87cf4eeb71c1e14ea8e51acfec6a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 72c | 17,868$12,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,029.98 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Yes | 1c | 10,656$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 7,252$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.15 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 72c | 6,941$4,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.27 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 28c | 3,528$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.71 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 28c | 2,745$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.6 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 70c | 2,419$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.76 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 1,727$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.31 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 1,161$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.87 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 72c | 1,065$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 968.25$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.11 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 914.25$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 28c | 669$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 362.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 29c | 344.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 272.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 271.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…27d6backed Yes | 13c | 265.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 29c | 203.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 28c | 196.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 29c | 165.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 30c | 162$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 20c | 143.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 30c | 142.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 27c | 138$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 80c | 106.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 28c | 89.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 30c | 88.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 28c | 86.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 29c | 83.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…3816backed Yes | 30c | 83.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 20c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Yes | 27c | 78.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 29c | 78.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 28c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 71c | 68.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Yes | 28c | 52.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 52.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 27c | 49.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 21c | 49.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Yes | 30c | 40.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 71c | 26.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 71c | 23.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
- Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.