Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc562121a9aa9cbd7f7e1314d6496cdf9178b4100ab5f7fe90d6c87a63d22382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86da…6428backed Yes | 48c | 15,034$7,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,216.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 5,306$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.75 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed No | 54c | 1,860$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 1,731$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.69 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 46c | 1,486$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.72 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 1,454$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.31 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 1,243$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.75 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 52c | 1,230$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.4 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 995$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.6 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 51c | 926.12$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 49c | 524.04$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.78 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 70c | 383.1$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.54 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 46c | 345.51$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf867…3362backed Yes | 68c | 278.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 32c | 189.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…6c57backed Yes | 72c | 166.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed No | 30c | 166.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 19c | 123.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 62c | 90.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 75c | 87.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 82.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 54c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed No | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked Yes | 49c | 70.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 48c | 68.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 51c | 63.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 62c | 60.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 52c | 36.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 34.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 52c | 33.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 53c | 23.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 273 | 56.4%154 W · 119 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 56c | 22.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 52c | 21.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 53c | 19.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.