TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes10c21,673$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2013528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked No69c13,348$9,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes7c9,228$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.852725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes30c4,508$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.011,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes35c4,284$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9821547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c3,890$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.0872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes15c3,286$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.41533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Yes34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No66c2,884$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.631675%12 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes30c2,721$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.9853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c2,611$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.951,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c2,584$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.843,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No68c2,250$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7205743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes35c1,865$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9912146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes7c1,692$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6617137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes35c1,565$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Yes32c1,556$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes22c1,494$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9952639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes15c1,482$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3925652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes3c1,300$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412524%6 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c1,283$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.3273438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3504751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c919.09$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes20c815.27$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4136646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No65c693.91$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.917858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes9c660$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.44020%8 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes6c638$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.283525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-45.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Yes5c604.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No65c576$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.655750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No65c576$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No66c568$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes25c542$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.431446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes22c531.62$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0235247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d5…66d8backed No70c519.85$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.954261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Yes33c515.15$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes22c513.81$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.872035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes2c500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No66c446.97$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.972568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No71c435.84$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.939435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes8c401.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.115752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes32c400.23$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1244748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e0…b50ebacked Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Yes18c383.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.71030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-59.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7039…4a7dbacked No69c353.03$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.443100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdde…0b07backed Yes3c340$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c337.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes17c325.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.544447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes9c320$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes28c298$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.444346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No72c276.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked No70c259.13$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes32c256$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9227047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes30c240.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1568150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes34c225.97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8310848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes10c219.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9110644.3%47 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No68c219.26$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.163953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7017751.4%91 W · 86 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No66c195$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.611,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes27c190$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0678344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27bd…5452backed Yes33c189.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Yes19c188.59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Yes33c160.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes18c148.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.230735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes33c139.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.511144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Yes14c133.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.671833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes32c132.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.48129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes23c124.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8119641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes32c121.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.183154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed Yes11c119.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-73.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes30c116.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.88427.1%3 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick11cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152931%9 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Yes31c114.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes12c112.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes29c106.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes27c103.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0211046.4%51 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed No73c101.37$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.371060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3516456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f8…b109backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick70cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Yes30c93.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes14c93.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0596756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes33c90.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f8…7de7backed Yes32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed No69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe733…f6c9backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3f…b11cbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Yes34c56.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.171910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-77.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No67c55.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4613259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No67c54.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.031681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes29c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.373026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd9…8593backed Yes27c50.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-68.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160c…185cbacked Yes33c50.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.291637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56346%29 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dc4…4870backed Yes33c49.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No68c47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked No66c45.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.532360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.