Mls · resolved market
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x569bcb5131789412ceb41c49ccd0a80f07b6dd8d5f193ebfba9cdeb989db0e6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 23c | 15,000$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.47 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 11,720$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.08 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 6c | 7,278$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 5,380$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.83 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 77c | 4,489$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.41 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 78c | 2,432$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.56 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 2,380$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.3 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 2,242$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.53 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 1,999$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.78 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 75c | 824$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.52 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 22c | 747.6$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.47 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 562.72$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes | 19c | 532.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 7c | 364.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 7c | 316.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 4c | 255$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 11c | 217.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 208.35$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 207.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 76c | 189.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 6c | 189$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 13c | 163.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Yes | 14c | 154.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 144.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 140$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 18c | 138.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 133.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 26c | 115.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 17c | 114$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 28c | 114$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 30c | 114$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 23c | 111.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 27c | 102.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 12c | 88.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 75c | 79.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 72.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Yes | 21c | 71.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 62.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 78c | 57.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked No | 77c | 56.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 44.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…1a43backed No | 75c | 33.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 75c | 30.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 75c | 24.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 75c | 21.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 75c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 18.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fe…81f5backed No | 75c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-17?Yes won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.