Asian League · resolved market
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaed0ab81a488cec28fb7c35b647ae0931cba60b121828192d12c6261ed1a1c72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 53c | 10,854$5,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,715.36 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Yes | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 33c | 6,319$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 5,559$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.87 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 0c | 4,862$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 2,377$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.79 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 31c | 1,994$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.29 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked No | 53c | 1,968$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 1,736$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.44 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 1,590$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.95 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 1,351$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.97 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 1,100$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 45c | 721.85$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.02 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 63c | 660.49$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.27 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 655.03$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.97 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 77c | 593.7$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 47c | 592.46$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 63c | 579.72$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 54c | 545.69$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.67 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 523.38$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.31 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 53c | 405$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 54c | 373.83$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.62 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 342.36$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.84 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 321.48$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.8 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed No | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…8583backed Yes | 51c | 282.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 23c | 282.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 79c | 252.74$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 47c | 205.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 64c | 201.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…1e03backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed No | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 53c | 182.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked No | 55c | 165.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 55c | 161.58$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 65c | 146.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 141.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 65c | 133.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 47c | 131.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 79c | 96.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 54c | 94.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed No | 54c | 91.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed No | 55c | 90.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 58c | 77.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 58c | 75.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 54c | 75.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 46c | 71.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 75c | 66.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 46c | 65.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…ee14backed No | 74c | 62.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 48c | 55.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed No | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…bdf1backed No | 51c | 53.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 53c | 46.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…8732backed Yes | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 54c | 40.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 51c | 39.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…7d46backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Yes | 51c | 31.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe771…a76abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 76c | 29.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 68c | 27.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…400bbacked No | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 48c | 26.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 52c | 26.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 75c | 25.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 21.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5953…192fbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 66c | 19.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 56c | 19.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 74c | 14.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?No won
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.