South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-04-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ec7c7c79603c62490706914dfa57e24ab1d3d5c4119bdc6432470617421ce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 48c | 35,396$16,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,986.03 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 52c | 29,341$15,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,083.62 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 3,144$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.81 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 2,822$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.48 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 52c | 1,895$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.82 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.08 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 1,034$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.35 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 18c | 560.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.68 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 77c | 545.3$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 504.35$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 48c | 470.75$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.82 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 388.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.57 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked No | 24c | 380.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.82 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 48c | 366.46$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 52c | 301.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 52c | 298.15$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…1c82backed Yes | 48c | 295.51$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 48c | 202.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 48c | 201.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 57c | 194.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked No | 52c | 154.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked Yes | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 48c | 120.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 106.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 48c | 100.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed No | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked No | 51c | 83.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 24c | 81.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 77.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…9745backed Yes | 77c | 76.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 48c | 74.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 48c | 74.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 53c | 69.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 76c | 65.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…b7b1backed Yes | 53c | 59.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Yes | 54c | 57.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 52.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 45c | 50.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Yes | 54c | 49.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 37c | 44.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked No | 48c | 40.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Yes | 45c | 40.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 49c | 39.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked No | 55c | 37.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed No | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked No | 56c | 37.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a580backed Yes | 53c | 36.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…0820backed No | 52c | 24.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7757backed No | 47c | 23.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 53c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…7f47backed No | 53c | 20.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed No | 56c | 19.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Juventud win on 2026-04-09?this page
- Will CA Juventud vs. CS Cienciano end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-04-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.