Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x815b632ae2ddf8e214f0a9a5f5d40830c50163cc4cac9bd919744bdb41a5dbf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 38c | 3,741$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.39 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 3,291$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.87 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,283$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.55 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 2,048$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.84 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 24c | 1,229$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.87 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 25c | 1,146$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.23 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 1,057$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.85 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 65c | 1,021$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.11 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 76c | 689.92$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.58 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 64c | 500$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 79c | 418.71$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.78 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 58c | 404$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed Under | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 42c | 280.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 250.01$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 24c | 199.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 22c | 173.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…a56fbacked Over | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 68c | 138.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 37c | 129.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Under | 79c | 124.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 78c | 120.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 36c | 106.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 91.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 68c | 86.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 67c | 72.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 38c | 56.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 53.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 49c | 49.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 77c | 43.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 50c | 42.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 78c | 38.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 41c | 36.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 69c | 27.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 63c | 26.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 78c | 16.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…9983backed Over | 79c | 12.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eyüpspor (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)Eyüpspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.