Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2925eee7d2b6f2a0113b05c5c3a314ab23ad71afb82c56d7d1e4ad218ebe5fec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eyüpsporof Fatih Karagümrük SK, Eyüpspor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Eyüpspor | 75c | 2,118$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 26c | 1,369$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.45 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 25c | 1,139$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.77 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 27c | 764.86$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 27c | 696.58$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Eyüpspor | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 24c | 323.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Eyüpspor | 74c | 235.31$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Eyüpspor | 73c | 233.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 29c | 161.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 31c | 139.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Eyüpspor | 74c | 100.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Eyüpspor | 68c | 74.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fatih Karagümrük SK | 28c | 48.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Eyüpspor | 71c | 41.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Fatih Karagümrük SK | 80c | 36.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Eyüpspor | 74c | 36.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Eyüpspor | 72c | 31.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Eyüpspor | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Eyüpspor | 65c | 21.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Eyüpspor | 74c | 14.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)this page
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eyüpspor (-1.5)Fatih Karagümrük SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.