MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb29c4503a4a40a38d7fd02bb315f90e2a0fcba0aadeca3fae8d62da6ecabac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 35,574$17,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,698.54 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 12,853$6,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,366.72 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 6,120$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.06 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 3,947$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.64 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Over | 51c | 2,038$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.38 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,008$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.75 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Under | 49c | 1,970$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.52 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 49c | 1,557$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.13 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 1,421$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.74 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed Under | 47c | 1,161$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 53c | 922.65$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.85 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 50c | 595.95$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.28 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 587.38$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.03 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Over | 51c | 582.36$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.36 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed Under | 47c | 566.63$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Under | 47c | 556.86$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 521.92$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 51c | 367.86$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 325.15$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 57c | 323$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 315.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Under | 40c | 226.54$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…18d6backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Under | 50c | 182.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 67c | 150.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 99.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 51c | 97.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 12c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 30c | 87.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 19c | 78.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 51c | 77.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 52c | 49.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 52c | 40.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 37c | 39.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 52c | 37.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 36.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 58c | 29.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05d…b831backed Under | 50c | 28.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Over | 51c | 28.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Under | 48c | 27.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 24.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 48c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.