Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc863f120821a96deceaf5755813b85436067316aecfdbc30e4bbd5642673324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 2,150$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.89 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 65c | 1,750$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 16c | 1,712$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.05 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 600.6$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 69c | 587.86$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed Under | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 68c | 254.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 39c | 243$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 72c | 221$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 68c | 199$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 31c | 196$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 135.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 68c | 127.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 79c | 126.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 64c | 112.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 35c | 52.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 49c | 38.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 30c | 37.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 29.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…2d5bbacked Over | 65c | 20.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)FC Volendam won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-2.5)FC Volendam won
- Spread: FC Volendam (-1.5)FC Twente '65 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.