Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58610e7063bc9c624753bf746665f8181395779185e82ab2c45b56d8a61fbcfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 78c | 4,444$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 1,635$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb08e…2f34backed Under | 17c | 1,325$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 21c | 1,295$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.84 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 31c | 498.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.1 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 19c | 275.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 23c | 220.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 23c | 212.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 22c | 192.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 22c | 192.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 77c | 188.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 22c | 184.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 22c | 184.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 22c | 184.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 22c | 184.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 78c | 135$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 68c | 102$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 29c | 89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 84.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 73c | 57.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 26c | 49.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 23c | 46.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 73c | 41.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…2e4dbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 77c | 31.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 62c | 30.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 73c | 27.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 78c | 20.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 77c | 19.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)FC Volendam won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-2.5)FC Volendam won
- Spread: FC Volendam (-1.5)FC Twente '65 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.