Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c73b21c240f75f7fe36dc1fb36546468155881d664183199e02f4ea3a6109b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 56c | 5,036$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 2,391$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.27 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 46c | 2,184$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.11 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 53c | 1,540$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.03 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 1,471$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 30c | 676.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 51c | 586.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.37 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…699bbacked No | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 389$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked No | 13c | 377$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 72c | 372.58$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.97 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 37c | 269.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 11c | 265$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 39c | 260.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked No | 46c | 223.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 48c | 187.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 176.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed No | 65c | 151.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 147$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 48c | 95.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 64c | 66.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 64c | 66.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…261ebacked No | 63c | 64.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 49c | 51.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…87c3backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 46c | 36.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…f90dbacked No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca5…1d39backed No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68be…b5ecbacked Yes | 50c | 23.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b2…7c55backed No | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…a0d8backed Yes | 50c | 22.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…0e07backed Yes | 50c | 20.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…c8b9backed Yes | 50c | 20.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…99dabacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)FC Volendam won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-2.5)FC Volendam won
- Spread: FC Volendam (-1.5)FC Twente '65 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.