NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf63f4a6c1cbaee1f27192f3f2562341fe497f1c94ab6d4beb7ee2230b3da89c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Heat | 53c | 10,052$5,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.38 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 37c | 6,420$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Hawks | 47c | 5,100$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 43c | 2,751$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Hawks | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Heat | 57c | 2,486$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.09 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 18c | 2,384$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.84 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Hawks | 43c | 1,648$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.06 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Heat | 68c | 1,577$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.4 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Heat | 66c | 1,481$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.74 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6975…11c1backed Heat | 73c | 1,287$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 35c | 1,285$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.52 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Heat | 70c | 1,239$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.19 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed Hawks | 40c | 1,110$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Hawks | 27c | 1,087$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.43 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 40c | 1,037$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Hawks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Heat | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked Hawks | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Heat | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Hawks | 45c | 967$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.15 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hawks | 44c | 899.52$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.79 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Hawks | 45c | 881.04$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.47 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…31f9backed Hawks | 36c | 869.08$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Heat | 58c | 837.3$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.67 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Hawks | 37c | 820$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8988…0251backed Heat | 56c | 700.81$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bd…4c63backed Hawks | 37c | 649.46$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 39c | 639.83$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.15 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Hawks | 41c | 635.23$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Hawks | 47c | 611$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.17 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hawks | 40c | 571.31$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.77 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Hawks | 47c | 526.39$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Hawks | 39c | 467.16$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Heat | 62c | 419.25$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.31 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Heat | 55c | 394.61$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.93 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…5112backed Heat | 69c | 357.19$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Heat | 55c | 354.06$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Heat | 63c | 351.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…4ec2backed Hawks | 46c | 298.66$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…4c38backed Heat | 54c | 298.53$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…bd1fbacked Heat | 55c | 291.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…1090backed Hawks | 47c | 288.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…2e13backed Heat | 54c | 272.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cb…3d47backed Hawks | 47c | 271.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…6d1cbacked Heat | 73c | 270.95$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…ef5cbacked Heat | 76c | 260.55$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Heat | 59c | 215.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Hawks | 47c | 211.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Hawks | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Hawks | 37c | 196.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Hawks | 47c | 189.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hawks | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Heat | 59c | 178.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Heat | 56c | 174.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hawks | 10c | 170.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hawks | 11c | 167.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Heat | 59c | 165.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8c…2f40backed Hawks | 44c | 161.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Hawks | 21c | 148.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Hawks | 46c | 145.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Heat | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Heat | 72c | 136.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Hawks | 47c | 120.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Hawks | 39c | 117.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Hawks | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Hawks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Heat | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hawks | 41c | 92.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hawks | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Hawks | 36c | 89.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254d…550cbacked Heat | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Hawks | 33c | 87.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Hawks | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hawks | 30c | 77.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Hawks | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Hawks | 47c | 67.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Heat | 73c | 66.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Hawks | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Hawks | 39c | 59.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…8c80backed Heat | 56c | 58.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Hawks | 47c | 57.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…fa34backed Hawks | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad2…90acbacked Hawks | 45c | 53.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Hawks | 31c | 53.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Hawks | 38c | 50.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Heat | 70c | 48.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Hawks | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Hawks | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Hawks | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hawks | 26c | 40.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Heat | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Hawks | 47c | 38.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Hawks | 40c | 37.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Hawks | 47c | 36.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 39c | 34.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Hawks | 45c | 34.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Heat | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb510…762bbacked Hawks | 37c | 30.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Hawks vs. HeatHeat won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 247.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 248.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.