NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab21786d8f23e1c8a0ed3d2b6c73490459720dfd2e82df4f7ab1a627569b624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Under | 65c | 2,947$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.03 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 2,803$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.05 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 54c | 2,727$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.21 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 2,696$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.1 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 28c | 1,714$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.37 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 50c | 1,661$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.41 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 29c | 1,382$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.05 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 1,196$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 830.45$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.84 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 758.05$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 15c | 746.03$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 53c | 627.68$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.48 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…092ebacked Over | 68c | 480.3$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 26c | 477.8$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 378.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 369.47$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 58c | 357.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 70c | 330.46$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.32 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Under | 54c | 302.84$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.36 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 255.74$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf64c…c82cbacked Under | 29c | 244.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 59c | 233.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 60c | 231.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 44c | 215.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Under | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 53c | 182.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ef…ed56backed Under | 53c | 181.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 50c | 178.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Under | 58c | 168.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 48c | 163.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9093…188ebacked Under | 50c | 153.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 41c | 146.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…73a3backed Over | 48c | 141.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 51c | 139.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…7620backed Over | 44c | 139.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23dc…7520backed Under | 50c | 136.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 68c | 132.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…3f4bbacked Under | 50c | 127.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Over | 49c | 102.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 56c | 97.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 41c | 97.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…43adbacked Under | 51c | 94.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 23c | 93.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 42c | 91.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Under | 51c | 90.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 41c | 89.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…a9dabacked Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8f…273abacked Under | 56c | 87.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…7a4ebacked Under | 53c | 84.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Over | 47c | 83.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 59c | 82.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Under | 53c | 81.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…9472backed Over | 49c | 81.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 27c | 79.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd5…922abacked Over | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 50c | 76.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 29c | 74.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under | 59c | 74.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 38c | 65.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 45c | 64.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.7wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…aba4backed Over | 47c | 64.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243f…322dbacked Under | 53c | 63.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 27c | 63.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 37c | 61.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…0dffbacked Under | 55c | 60.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…a3e9backed Under | 50c | 60.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…0b62backed Over | 50c | 59.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Over | 47c | 58.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 72c | 53.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Under | 52c | 51.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 51c | 49.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 42.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…b614backed Under | 50c | 40.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 40.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…2c88backed Under | 51c | 39.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 58c | 35.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…82e1backed Under | 56c | 34.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89c…df9abacked Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 53c | 33.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…efa3backed Under | 50c | 32.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…4ebbbacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 47c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 71c | 29.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 49c | 28.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Hawks vs. HeatHeat won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 247.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 248.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.