NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf48dc73b05b62a7ce2a25c9e121b40679b9748f7dace452eb41c7c4fc386909e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 50c | 21,092$10,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,517.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks | 50c | 15,805$7,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,832.15 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Hawks | 0c | 13,443$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Heat | 53c | 12,890$6,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,087.21 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 49c | 10,613$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.57 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 51c | 9,971$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.81 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c5…56a7backed Hawks | 48c | 7,654$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Heat | 51c | 5,931$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.27 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Heat | 52c | 5,910$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.75 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 48c | 4,930$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.34 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Hawks | 47c | 4,187$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.81 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 46c | 4,158$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.22 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Hawks | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Heat | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.22 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks | 48c | 1,559$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.16 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hawks | 39c | 1,535$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.63 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Heat | 52c | 1,457$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.26 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Heat | 52c | 1,425$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.13 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Heat | 52c | 1,425$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.13 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Hawks | 47c | 1,236$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.92 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Heat | 54c | 1,199$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.63 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hawks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Hawks | 48c | 981.39$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.07 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Hawks | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.02 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Hawks | 39c | 957.93$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.68 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heat | 62c | 925.87$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.03 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Heat | 52c | 816.99$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 49c | 766.24$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Heat | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Heat | 51c | 398.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.03 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Heat | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Heat | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Heat | 52c | 286.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.52 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Hawks | 48c | 256.59$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Hawks | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hawks | 48c | 212.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked Heat | 80c | 207.81$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Hawks | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Hawks | 49c | 201.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Heat | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Heat | 54c | 188.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hawks | 48c | 185.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Hawks | 52c | 154.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Heat | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Hawks | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Heat | 57c | 136.45$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hawks | 49c | 125.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Hawks | 42c | 123.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hawks | 47c | 123.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…b5b8backed Hawks | 41c | 122.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Hawks | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed Hawks | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…698bbacked Heat | 56c | 106.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Hawks | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…7ebebacked Heat | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Hawks | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Heat | 52c | 98.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Heat | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Heat | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Hawks | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Hawks | 43c | 94.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Heat | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Heat | 52c | 91.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Hawks | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Hawks | 44c | 79.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Heat | 54c | 77.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Heat | 47c | 77.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hawks | 42c | 77.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Hawks | 49c | 71.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Heat | 52c | 68.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Hawks | 28c | 61.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Hawks | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Heat | 52c | 56.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Hawks | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hawks | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Heat | 52c | 49.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Heat | 52c | 49.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Hawks | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Heat | 70c | 47.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 73 | 82.2%60 W · 13 L | +18.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Heat | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Heat | 52c | 46.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…1fbfbacked Hawks | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Heat | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Heat | 53c | 38.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…5833backed Heat | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Hawks | 42c | 36.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Heat | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Heat | 52c | 35.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Heat | 52c | 33.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Heat | 52c | 33.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Heat | 55c | 31.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Heat | 52c | 30.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Hawks | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf300…aa7fbacked Hawks | 54c | 29.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Heat | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Heat | 52c | 28.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Heat | 51c | 28.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…e2e5backed Heat | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Heat | 52c | 28.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Heat | 52c | 26.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Hawks vs. HeatHeat won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 239.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 242.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 247.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 248.5Over won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-12.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-19.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.