NHL · resolved market
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbafe9720120607cf2a8ee088f2fc326f611694b14427c4b2d73b5daadd94d386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metallurg Magnitogorskof Metallurg Magnitogorsk, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Torpedo | 23c | 1,795$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Torpedo | 19c | 940.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Torpedo | 24c | 917.75$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.51 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Torpedo | 19c | 787.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Torpedo | 18c | 592.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Torpedo | 3c | 591.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Torpedo | 21c | 476.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Torpedo | 14c | 469.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 465$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 344.52$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed Torpedo | 19c | 317.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 75c | 275.8$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Torpedo | 20c | 245.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Torpedo | 25c | 163.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 80c | 154.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 77c | 147.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Torpedo | 14c | 136.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…2bcbbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…33a9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 77c | 128.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 79c | 120.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Torpedo | 31c | 114.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0f…f6dabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 80c | 98.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d39…1ca7backed Torpedo | 23c | 91.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae74backed Torpedo | 21c | 90.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Torpedo | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 64.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 75c | 59.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 53.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 53.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 47.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 76c | 46.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 75c | 40.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Torpedo | 25c | 40.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…ba7ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…b4cebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 77c | 32.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6890…d1a4backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 29.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 77c | 21.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…5f86backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 73c | 18.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 64c | 15.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 78c | 13.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.