South American Leagues · resolved market
Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfac28df925dfd87c4c43887c0977447339c110cc16dae6f693aeb0c40433be9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 2,891$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,335$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 50c | 574.24$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 443.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 44c | 438.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 55c | 418.61$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.29 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…0764backed Over | 26c | 382.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 45c | 339.21$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 39c | 260.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.67 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed Under | 45c | 157.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 150.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 149.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 61c | 89.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Under | 39c | 86.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 80.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 58c | 73.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 52.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 48c | 50.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 51c | 25.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 48c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed Under | 61c | 18.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 2.5this page
- Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 1.5Under won
- Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)CA Boston River won
- Spread: Millonarios FC (-2.5)CA Boston River won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.