South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Millonarios FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3721e8436f4293ec7db2681eb69a39f5e2973933a30e29f92e90aaea9733b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Boston Riverof Millonarios FC, CA Boston River
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Millonarios FC | 27c | 4,297$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.65 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed CA Boston River | 72c | 1,689$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.83 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed CA Boston River | 73c | 657$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.39 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked CA Boston River | 72c | 616.6$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CA Boston River | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CA Boston River | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CA Boston River | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Boston River | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed CA Boston River | 69c | 342.7$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CA Boston River | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Millonarios FC | 34c | 292.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed CA Boston River | 64c | 217.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Millonarios FC | 7c | 188.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CA Boston River | 69c | 108.39$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CA Boston River | 68c | 107.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6a…81d6backed CA Boston River | 64c | 102.73$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked CA Boston River | 71c | 88.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Millonarios FC | 29c | 84.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…d28abacked Millonarios FC | 29c | 81.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…254abacked CA Boston River | 65c | 77.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CA Boston River | 70c | 33.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed CA Boston River | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CA Boston River | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked CA Boston River | 71c | 25.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed CA Boston River | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed CA Boston River | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Millonarios FC (-2.5)this page
- Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 1.5Under won
- Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 2.5Under won
- Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5Under won
- Millonarios FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Millonarios FC (-1.5)CA Boston River won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.