MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d81f5fda824933887bba2db2e739b71c87ae538860523789a652363bad3bc3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 43c | 51,927$22,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,598.36 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 57c | 10,617$6,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,051.59 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 44c | 7,544$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.71 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 6,162$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,512.6 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 56c | 5,226$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.57 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 57c | 4,361$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.76 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 4,360$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.16 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 56c | 3,111$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.69 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Under | 59c | 2,369$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 48c | 2,242$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.3 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 57c | 2,237$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.29 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 2,180$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.57 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 2,054$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.86 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 57c | 2,054$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.86 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 60c | 1,856$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.02 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 56c | 1,846$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.72 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 57c | 1,794$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.85 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 59c | 1,653$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.4 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Under | 57c | 1,240$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.08 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Under | 55c | 1,216$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 57c | 1,196$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.94 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 57c | 1,148$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.14 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 57c | 917.34$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.07 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 69c | 844.95$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.64 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 837.33$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 833.72$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 711.54$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 57c | 693.89$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.52 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 57c | 630.82$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.57 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 57c | 630.82$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.57 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 40c | 581.17$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 56c | 550$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 56c | 536.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 45c | 482.1$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 57c | 427.28$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 43c | 420$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 45c | 378.87$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 57c | 359.34$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.83 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked Under | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 317.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 35c | 257.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 57c | 237.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 57c | 183.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 44c | 181.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 57c | 179.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 36c | 139.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 43c | 137.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 43c | 136.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…8bf4backed Under | 10c | 135.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 47c | 134.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 131.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 57c | 128.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 57c | 107.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 53c | 105.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 57c | 102.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 57c | 91.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 57c | 86.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 54c | 86.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 54c | 84.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 57c | 79.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 57c | 73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 47c | 70.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 44c | 70.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 57c | 69.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Under | 59c | 66.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 45c | 64.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 57c | 61.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 57c | 58.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 57c | 54.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 44c | 53.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 60c | 53.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under | 56c | 53.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Over | 42c | 52.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 57c | 51.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 57c | 50.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Under | 58c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 44c | 44.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Under | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 74c | 41.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 57c | 38.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 50c | 38.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 57c | 37.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 56c | 36.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 57c | 36.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Under | 57c | 35.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 35.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 13.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.