TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over43c51,927$22,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,598.3641149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under57c10,617$6,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,051.5992054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over44c7,544$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,224.711,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under57c6,162$3,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.61,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under56c5,226$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.5715451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under57c4,361$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,476.761,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under57c4,360$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.161,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under56c3,111$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.691,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Under59c2,369$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Over48c2,242$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.34740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under57c2,237$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.2927351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under57c2,180$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.571,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under57c2,054$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.861,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under57c2,054$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.8634452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under60c1,856$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.022,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under56c1,846$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.7217248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under57c1,794$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.851,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under59c1,653$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.410246.1%47 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Under57c1,240$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.085435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x746e…68cabacked Under55c1,216$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.942445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c55…7ef8backed Over44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6721225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Under57c1,196$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.943542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under57c1,148$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.1468053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under57c917.34$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.071,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under69c844.95$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.6413361.7%82 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under49c837.33$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.095,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over43c833.72$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.226,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c711.54$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under57c693.89$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.527045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under57c630.82$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5739351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under57c630.82$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5712656.3%71 W · 55 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over40c581.17$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.146,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under56c550$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30870744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under56c536.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9930844.2%136 W · 172 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over45c482.1$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.165350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under57c427.28$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.551,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over43c420$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.41,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over45c378.87$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0865549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c359.34$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8367849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8441847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8425751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9139948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b6…672abacked Under54c324.07$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c317.57$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3141051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over35c257.06$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.999,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under57c237.7$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4928943.3%125 W · 164 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0224950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under57c183.57$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.631,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over44c181.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8121847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under57c179.46$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2944348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3612549.6%62 W · 63 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4294648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over36c139.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5713256.1%74 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over43c137.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1825249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over43c136.93$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0532348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f0f…8bf4backed Under10c135.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over47c134.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.557037.1%26 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over45c131.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.131,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under57c128.17$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.064755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under57c107.23$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1230750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under53c105.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.931546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under57c102.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.341,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under57c91.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.934346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under57c86.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3550949.5%252 W · 257 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over54c86.47$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.051,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7152449%257 W · 267 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.718752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Under57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.716256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7115552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Under54c84.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.822948%110 W · 119 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under57c79.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.240341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under57c73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8867742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Over47c70.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.610449%51 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over44c70.76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6312750.4%64 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under57c69.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.669948.5%48 W · 51 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked Under59c66.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over45c64.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2879543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under57c61.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0726151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Under57c58.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3211250%56 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c54.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.772,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over44c53.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1367453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under60c53.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1666749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under56c53.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over42c52.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.231747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under57c51.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1561948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under57c50.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7631046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Under58c49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4228053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over44c44.25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.781,05750.2%531 W · 526 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3637747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Under57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.364645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over74c41.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7578146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under57c38.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2124152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over50c38.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.291,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under57c37.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.68764.4%56 W · 31 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under56c36.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.730048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under57c36.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9721547%101 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4519248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Under57c35.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.463336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over32c35.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4765050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.