MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x197c2828e46bdcdb5739813942f41966a83e4e7a17f41adc807c4fcd22c5ba69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x661f…098abacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 11,193$6,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,388.68 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 7,650$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.95 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 4,701$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.05 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 1,813$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.2 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,029$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.62 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,003$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.08 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 977.69$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.96 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 889.34$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 683.21$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.87 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 490$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 458.26$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 455.6$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 309.79$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 246.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 192.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 192.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 165$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 164.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 144.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 125.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 122.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 119.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Atlanta Braves | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 113.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 103.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 103.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 88.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 84.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 81.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 33c | 77.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 74.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Atlanta Braves | 28c | 66.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 61.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 60.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 58.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 54.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 48.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 48.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 47.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 45.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 43.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 43.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 31c | 42.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 80c | 38.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 35.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 35.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf336…beb1backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Miami Marlins | 69c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 24.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Miami Marlins | 70c | 23.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 16.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 14.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.