MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa626516e20e4fb8b41381eefe3c44219cf143df49280be1338b340d04348bc4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 42,156$20,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,499.61 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 19,980$10,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,089.8 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…603dbacked Under | 0c | 15,981$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 13,480$6,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,874.66 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 10,470$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.09 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 54c | 4,616$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.82 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 3,263$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.06 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 50c | 2,577$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.64 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 2,406$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.12 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 51c | 2,236$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.15 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 53c | 1,961$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.19 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 1,634$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.69 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 1,400$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Over | 50c | 1,181$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 1,115$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.63 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 53c | 1,031$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.96 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 51c | 1,028$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.27 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Under | 51c | 1,014$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 51c | 930.18$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.35 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 752.68$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.39 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Under | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Over | 50c | 454.27$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 54c | 446.33$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.02 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 55c | 442.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.25 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 50c | 428.09$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.05 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 51c | 363.98$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 51c | 355.85$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Under | 51c | 352.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Under | 51c | 317.7$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Under | 55c | 274.21$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 50c | 254.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 251.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 51c | 250.01$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 238.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.35 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 52c | 212.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 203.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 198.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 196.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 171.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 55c | 170.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 74c | 165$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 161.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 42c | 155.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 52c | 139.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 56c | 137.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 53c | 126.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 111.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 104.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Under | 51c | 104.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 73c | 99.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 55c | 96.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 94.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 80.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 46c | 73.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Under | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 49c | 67.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…6595backed Under | 55c | 65.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Under | 75c | 59.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 55.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 51c | 54.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Over | 31c | 52.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 51c | 49.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 62c | 49.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 48.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 51c | 45.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 40c | 44.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Under | 53c | 44.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 43.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 29c | 43.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 46c | 41.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 60c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 48c | 40.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 66c | 40.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 49c | 38.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 73c | 36.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 34.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesMiami Marlins won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 13.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 14.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.