TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Morelia: Luka Pavlovic vs Adam Walton

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luka Pavlovicof Luka Pavlovic, Adam Walton
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,944 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Luka Pavlovic18c7,366$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,049.41,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Adam Walton40c6,316$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.877,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Adam Walton52c5,884$3,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,051.546339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Adam Walton80c5,682$4,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,542.1724557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Adam Walton62c4,866$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00079855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Luka Pavlovic49c3,561$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.22,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Luka Pavlovic57c3,497$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.6460053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Luka Pavlovic55c2,496$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.096,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Luka Pavlovic42c2,017$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.4424438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Adam Walton8c1,925$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Adam Walton50c1,792$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.0850731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdad6…63a0backed Luka Pavlovic19c1,079$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.945248.1%25 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Luka Pavlovic18c1,072$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.591,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Adam Walton45c1,029$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Adam Walton1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13630%0 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Adam Walton1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Adam Walton2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a4…ebccbacked Adam Walton1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13229.1%2 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-42.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Adam Walton40c954.52$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.553,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Luka Pavlovic18c931.1$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.9835932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Luka Pavlovic23c864.63$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.731,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Luka Pavlovic44c804.36$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.2311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Adam Walton1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104114.6%6 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Adam Walton43c646$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.351,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Luka Pavlovic16c635.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.551,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Adam Walton47c573.46$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.264,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Luka Pavlovic65c564.39$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.684,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Luka Pavlovic62c554$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.976336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Adam Walton50c553.95$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.58544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Luka Pavlovic38c530$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.661924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Adam Walton36c509.52$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.672,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Luka Pavlovic15c500$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42515724.8%39 W · 118 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Adam Walton41c496.81$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1741544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Adam Walton48c471.41$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6929637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Luka Pavlovic41c451.9$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9613748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Luka Pavlovic60c446.85$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7444038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Adam Walton64c397.41$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.927,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Luka Pavlovic19c304.49$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3517447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Adam Walton4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1316718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Adam Walton4c300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135927.1%16 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Luka Pavlovic14c300$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2583,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Adam Walton35c224.03$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Adam Walton55c213.24$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.856,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Adam Walton49c205.86$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8764537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Luka Pavlovic47c192.76$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.712,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Luka Pavlovic68c179.41$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.417852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62bd…3dfbbacked Luka Pavlovic18c174.86$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.392142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Adam Walton10c170$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.39522.1%21 W · 74 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Adam Walton46c167.97$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.751,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Luka Pavlovic30c152$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5137342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Luka Pavlovic14c150.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.520554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Luka Pavlovic19c150$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Adam Walton45c144.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe93f…6769backed Adam Walton47c142.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.025444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Luka Pavlovic42c131.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4534950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Adam Walton48c131.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Adam Walton40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Luka Pavlovic20c121.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9664350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Adam Walton62c109.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6862534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Luka Pavlovic19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.262152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Luka Pavlovic27c105.13$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0211547%54 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Adam Walton43c101.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.113,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Luka Pavlovic19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8142353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Adam Walton62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.548650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Luka Pavlovic18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8211927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Luka Pavlovic19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8118447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Adam Walton62c98.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.82,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Luka Pavlovic45c86.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6767836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0b…94d1backed Adam Walton43c81.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.487152.1%37 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Adam Walton56c81.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5738460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Luka Pavlovic42c79.81$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2935944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Adam Walton41c79.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6923847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Adam Walton44c77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.684,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…224cbacked Luka Pavlovic46c72.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.044153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Adam Walton43c72.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.031435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Luka Pavlovic63c69.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6641658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Adam Walton41c68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8255660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Luka Pavlovic60c67.95$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3839955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Adam Walton28c67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5592548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Adam Walton33c66.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994a…8f07backed Adam Walton37c64.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Luka Pavlovic61c64.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.321,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Adam Walton78c64.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Luka Pavlovic58c64.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.023470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b7f…7e25backed Adam Walton39c62.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.652128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Adam Walton57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.227552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Adam Walton62c59.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9557252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Luka Pavlovic75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.832,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Luka Pavlovic19c53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.936939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Luka Pavlovic20c50.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.248361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Adam Walton59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.523248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Adam Walton59c49.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.451,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Adam Walton55c48.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.546349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Luka Pavlovic71c46.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6513955.4%77 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Adam Walton46c45.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.872352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Adam Walton64c43.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Adam Walton64c40.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2633163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Luka Pavlovic67c37.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3114555.2%80 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Adam Walton32c37.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.714,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Luka Pavlovic54c36.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7621172%152 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.