South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58d9322d0b62c30e55f7db0eb82e269ae14e49cc8c7eebfb6248f855e633273c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 9c | 5,057$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.56 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed No | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 8c | 2,708$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.83 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes | 77c | 2,245$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.18 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 2c | 2,197$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 4c | 1,897$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 7c | 1,820$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 1,440$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.34 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 8c | 1,352$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,151$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 11c | 798.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 1c | 674.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 3c | 426.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 22c | 396.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 22c | 313.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 14c | 249$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 23c | 245.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 10c | 216.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 8c | 156$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked No | 8c | 119.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 15c | 114.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 68c | 99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…06a4backed Yes | 66c | 45.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 60c | 27.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…1c45backed Yes | 77c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 79c | 24.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…93c6backed Yes | 60c | 21.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Nacional Potosí end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Nacional Potosí win on 2026-02-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.