Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c6fcd0b76c405f6f764c4ba3a73585e77a7d2ef8b5e97d0e79230788056e34f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof REKONIX, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,668 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed GamerLegion | 62c | 11,344$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.7 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed REKONIX | 39c | 9,119$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.09 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked REKONIX | 32c | 5,667$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.34 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed GamerLegion | 60c | 3,523$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.22 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed REKONIX | 38c | 3,034$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.79 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked REKONIX | 37c | 2,594$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.27 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed GamerLegion | 59c | 2,420$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked REKONIX | 24c | 2,053$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.95 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed REKONIX | 36c | 1,930$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.85 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked REKONIX | 29c | 1,556$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.64 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 1,387$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.28 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed REKONIX | 37c | 1,387$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.26 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed REKONIX | 37c | 1,280$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.6 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed REKONIX | 28c | 1,165$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.13 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REKONIX | 38c | 1,120$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.35 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked GamerLegion | 72c | 1,096$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.9 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed REKONIX | 4c | 1,061$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed GamerLegion | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked GamerLegion | 63c | 727.18$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked REKONIX | 39c | 682.34$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.79 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked REKONIX | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed REKONIX | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked REKONIX | 37c | 545.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 29c | 501.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed REKONIX | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked GamerLegion | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked GamerLegion | 78c | 384.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed REKONIX | 37c | 340.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.09 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed REKONIX | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GamerLegion | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GamerLegion | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed REKONIX | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed REKONIX | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion | 68c | 295.71$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed GamerLegion | 65c | 286.54$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed REKONIX | 39c | 267.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed GamerLegion | 62c | 266.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed REKONIX | 7c | 219.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed REKONIX | 31c | 205.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed GamerLegion | 68c | 176$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed REKONIX | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked REKONIX | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed GamerLegion | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked REKONIX | 31c | 128.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed REKONIX | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked GamerLegion | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked GamerLegion | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed REKONIX | 38c | 91.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked REKONIX | 38c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed GamerLegion | 63c | 83.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked GamerLegion | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed GamerLegion | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked REKONIX | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked REKONIX | 34c | 74.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed REKONIX | 30c | 67.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed GamerLegion | 64c | 51.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed GamerLegion | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GamerLegion | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed GamerLegion | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed REKONIX | 37c | 45.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed GamerLegion | 67c | 45.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 24c | 42.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed REKONIX | 39c | 37.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 17.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711b…bcecbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group AGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.