Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d175097f2071448a20a7b987e6436bfdceecbb26614387d0ae0d21a695358a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof REKONIX, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,362 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed REKONIX | 14c | 1,197$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.79 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked REKONIX | 14c | 1,100$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed REKONIX | 16c | 1,050$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 18c | 757.51$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked REKONIX | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked REKONIX | 15c | 299$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…4442backed GamerLegion | 62c | 289.94$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed REKONIX | 40c | 205.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed GamerLegion | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed REKONIX | 38c | 198.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed REKONIX | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed GamerLegion | 62c | 161.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed GamerLegion | 60c | 150.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 70c | 134.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed GamerLegion | 75c | 132.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked REKONIX | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed GamerLegion | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed REKONIX | 39c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed GamerLegion | 64c | 48.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…ceafbacked REKONIX | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed GamerLegion | 62c | 44.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed GamerLegion | 61c | 40.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed GamerLegion | 62c | 38.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked REKONIX | 39c | 36.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…273bbacked REKONIX | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed GamerLegion | 62c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked GamerLegion | 62c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked GamerLegion | 62c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed GamerLegion | 62c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…4a15backed GamerLegion | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed GamerLegion | 72c | 18.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed GamerLegion | 75c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.